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Where the global opportunities are: how to spot and size a new market

Writer: The MAK Group
The MAK Group
Aug 22
2 min read

Before you spend a dollar entering a market, size the opportunity with real trade data. Free public tools show you where demand for your product is growing, who already supplies it, and at what price. That is how you replace a hunch with a shortlist.



Aerial view of a busy container shipping port with cargo ships and cranes, representing international trade opportunities.
Before the first container ships, demand shows up in the trade data.

Start with the data, not the gut


Two free databases do most of the work. ITC's Trade Map covers the trade flows of more than 220 countries and territories and over 5,300 products, with values, volumes, trends, market share, and unit prices going back to 2001. UN Comtrade aggregates detailed global trade statistics covering roughly 99% of the world's merchandise trade. The World Bank's WITS adds tariff and market-access data on top. Together they tell you, for your specific product, which markets are buying more of it each year and from whom.


What a real opportunity looks like


Read the data for four signals. Imports of your product are growing, not flat or falling. The incumbents supplying that demand are few or weak rather than entrenched. The unit prices leave room for your margin after freight and duty. And the market is reachable, with logistics and rules you can actually navigate. A market that shows all four is worth a closer look. One that shows none is a polite no, however exciting it feels.


From data to decision


Use the numbers to narrow the world to two or three candidate markets. Then validate on the ground, because trade data tells you where demand is, not whether you can win it. Local relationships, distribution access, and the honest read of a partner who knows the terrain are what turn a promising number into a first order.


That combination, hard data plus people on the ground, is how we help organizations choose where to grow. And if the numbers do not support the move, we would rather tell you before you spend than after. Let's talk about your project.


FAQ


How can I size an export market for free?

Use ITC Trade Map and UN Comtrade. Both are free and show import demand, suppliers, and prices for your product by country.


What signals a good target market?

Rising imports of your product, weak or few incumbent suppliers, unit prices that protect your margin, and workable logistics and regulations.


Is trade data enough to decide?

No. Data narrows the field to a shortlist; local validation and the right partners decide whether you can actually win the market.


Sources

  • ITC Trade Map coverage (220+ countries, 5,300+ products, indicators since 2001): ITC — Trade Map

  • UN Comtrade coverage (~99% of world merchandise trade): UN Comtrade



 
 
 

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